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Business Roundtable Q3 CEO Economic Outlook Index Signals Continued U.S. Slowdown

The Business Roundtable CEO Economic Outlook Index declined 12 points from last quarter to 84 in the third quarter, its long-run average and well above the expansion or contraction threshold of 50. This quarter’s decline reflects a continued reduction in chief executive officer expectations and plans for the next six months.

In their fourth estimate of 2022 U.S. real gross domestic product growth, CEOs projected 2.3% growth for the year. Plans for hiring decreased 11 points to a value of 78. Plans for capital investment decreased 11 points to a value of 75. Expectations for sales decreased 12 points to a value of 99.